Licence risk across African mining, oil and gas

Is the asset what it claims to be? Will its terms hold?

Extractive Insight helps investors, lenders and insurers answer those questions about a specific licence. We establish what you are backing, how exposed its terms are to change, and what moves while you hold the position.

01

Why the individual licence matters

A sound asset can still lose its economics.

By licence we mean the instrument the asset depends on: a mining licence, an exploration or production block, a production sharing contract or a concession. Its value rests on the rights granted or agreed, and on how they are administered.

A mine can have a flawless orebody, a competent operator and a signed offtake, and still lose its economics because a permit went unrenewed, a fiscal term was revised, or a code reform removed a stability guarantee.

A commercial petroleum discovery can lose its value if the exploration period is not extended, the development plan is not approved, acreage must be relinquished, or cost recovery and profit-oil terms are reopened after capital has been committed.

The exposure sits in the particular licence and contract: its renewal conditions, its stability clause, its work obligations and the decisions already taken under them.

Two licences under the same framework can be affected completely differently.
02

What you get when you hire us

Know what you are backing. Understand what could change.

Read the five services in full →
01

Counterparty Review

Before you sign, know who holds the interest and who controls it. We trace title, participating interests under the joint operating agreement, operatorship and back-in rights to named sources you can use in a credit paper.

Read about Counterparty Review
03

Asset Assessment

Find out what would have to be true for an asset to be financeable, and what is missing. Our fixed-fee review connects the resource, its reporting basis, the operator, the governing terms and the route to market.

Read about Asset Assessment
04

Portfolio Watch

Diligence describes the day it was written. The position lasts a decade. In between, interests and terms can change, and nobody is obliged to tell you. We watch what you hold and explain what each verified change means for your position.

Read about Portfolio Watch
05

Dispute Support

When a position has been impaired, the decisive question may be how comparable licences were treated. We retrieve the primary record, build the chronology and give expert evidence on whether the framework was applied consistently.

Read about Dispute Support
03

The evidence behind the work

Locus / Our African licence platform

Know what changed, and what was known at the time.

How Locus supports your assessment →

Locus maintains the identity, ownership, participating interests and full event history of every licence we cover. Each entry carries its source and source tier, so the evidence remains traceable wherever it is used.

Every record carries two dates: when the event occurred, and when it became known to us. Ask what was known about a licence in March 2023 and Locus returns the record as it stood then.

That is how Portfolio Watch identifies what moved, and how Dispute Support builds a chronology from a record maintained over time. It also lets you revisit a decision against the information available when it was made.

Locus supports our work today. Direct client access will open in stages, beginning with licence files and interest chains.

04

Read our work before you commission it

Check us before you hire us.

Read our judgment in Extractives Daily and check the licences we cover in Extractives Directory. Both are open to everyone.

Daily coverage

Extractives Daily

Our daily coverage of what is being disclosed across African extractive jurisdictions. Read it for as long as you like before paying us for an assessment.

Read Extractives Daily ↗Subscribe ↗

Our coverage

Extractives Directory

Our public coverage index shows each licence, its holder of record and when we last updated it. Check whether your asset is within our coverage before commissioning work.

Check our coverage ↗
05

Why you can trust the answer

Independence makes the assessment worth buying.

We assess assets. We do not rank countries, and we do not publish views on governments.

01Licence holders, operators and their controlling affiliates cannot commission, pay for, or receive advance sight of our assessment of their own assets.

02Every subscriber entitled to a rating receives it at the same moment, including subscribers holding an interest in the asset. There is no early version and no private version.

03We take no contingent or success-based fees and no paid government mandate anywhere within our coverage.

Those rules cost us revenue. They are the reason the answer is worth buying.

Discuss an asset

Tell us the asset and the decision.

Tell us the named asset and the decision in front of you. We will confirm whether it is within coverage before we quote.

Discuss an asset